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Ben Rand's avatar

Elsewhere you've said teams that win 2/3 parts of the triangle win about 70% of their matches (I think). Is there any difference between which 2 parts they win? For example is there any advantage if a team wins TS + FBSO, FBSO + TR or TS + TR?

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Joe Trinsey's avatar

I haven't done this analysis every year, but the one year I looked at this:

TS + FB = 62% Win (and losing Transition)

TS + TR = 65% Win (and losing FB)

FB + TR = 85% Win (and losing TS)

The FB + Trans gets a little skewed though, because it implies you're serving a lot and since NCAA-or-better level of play always sees more service errors than aces, serving more is a disadvantage to winning Terminal Serves. So if you are dominating in FB and Transition, it hurts your ability to winning Terminal Serving.

I think the 3 aspects would be more even in something like a club setting, where good servers routinely serve more aces than errors.

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