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To me the mind-blowing data point is that in your sample "how well or poorly your opponents passed had almost 0 correlation to winning". I wonder if that holds true for good club teams at 16s/17s or D2 and D3 teams. Could it be that pin hitters are so good at the top D1 level that pass quality is less relevant, but with less elite pins pass quality has a bigger impact on sideout offense?

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Probably a better way to say that would be, "how well or poorly your opponents passed had almost 0 correlation to season win %." I'm going to make a note of that on the top of the next article in this series...

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